Tuesday, October 12, 2004

Windage, Place, or Show

"Kentucky Windage" or "windage" is a method of target shooting where the shooter deliberately aims off-target. This is to compensate for a moving target, weather conditions, or just a bad sight on the rifle. The new Star Tribune poll shows (surprise!) John Kerry with a slight lead. In order to properly interpret the Strib poll, one must use windage and add five to seven points to the Republican percentage. Scott Johnson of Powerline has a standing dinner bet with the Strib pollster that the Republican results on election day will be at least five points better than the final poll. As usual, the Powerline shot is right on target. This consistent polling error compounds the problems I wrote about with regard to the Strib endorsements.

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